Multiple blood feeding in mosquitoes shortens the Plasmodium falciparum incubation period and increases malaria transmission potential
Fig 4
Relative R0 values across sub-Saharan Africa show increase in malaria transmission potential.
(A) Regions of sub-Saharan Africa with 1 to 12 months of average temperature in 27 ± 2°C. Our modeling analysis was restricted to locations and months of the year during which the average temperature was in this range, in order to align with our laboratory conditions. Areas in gray depict regions where there are 0 months with average temperature in that range, or where the predicted probability of An. gambiae complex is less than 5%. (B) The percent increase of using revised estimates of EIP50 (derived from two blood feeds) to R0 using the standard estimates of EIP50 (derived from a single blood feed). Models using a standard EIP parameter may underestimate R0 by an average of least 10.1%. In these regions, the average change during the months within the relevant temperature range is 10.5% (range: 10.1%–12.1%).