About the Authors

Sung-mok Jung

Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America

Sara L. Loo

Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Visualization, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Emily Howerton

Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Visualization, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, United States of America

Lucie Contamin

Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America

Claire P. Smith

Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Erica C. Carcelén

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Katie Yan

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, United States of America

Samantha J. Bents

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America

John Levander

Roles Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America

Jessi Espino

Roles Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America

Joseph C. Lemaitre

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America

Koji Sato

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Clifton D. McKee

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Alison L. Hill

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Matteo Chinazzi

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Jessica T. Davis

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Kunpeng Mu

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Alessandro Vespignani

Roles Data curation, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Erik T. Rosenstrom

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, United States of America

Sebastian A. Rodriguez-Cartes

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, United States of America

Julie S. Ivy

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, United States of America

Maria E. Mayorga

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, United States of America

Julie L. Swann

Roles Data curation, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, United States of America

Guido España

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, United States of America

Sean Cavany

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, United States of America

Sean M. Moore

Roles Data curation, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, United States of America

T. Alex Perkins

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, United States of America

Shi Chen

Roles Data curation, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States of America

Rajib Paul

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States of America

Daniel Janies

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States of America

Jean-Claude Thill

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States of America

Ajitesh Srivastava

Roles Data curation, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

Majd Al Aawar

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

Kaiming Bi

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, United States of America

Shraddha Ramdas Bandekar

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, United States of America

Anass Bouchnita

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, Texas, United States of America

Spencer J. Fox

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, United States of America

Lauren Ancel Meyers

Roles Data curation, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, United States of America

Przemyslaw Porebski

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Srini Venkatramanan

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Aniruddha Adiga

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Benjamin Hurt

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Brian Klahn

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Joseph Outten

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Jiangzhuo Chen

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Henning Mortveit

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Amanda Wilson

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Stefan Hoops

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Parantapa Bhattacharya

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Dustin Machi

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Anil Vullikanti

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Bryan Lewis

Roles Data curation, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Madhav Marathe

Roles Data curation, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Harry Hochheiser

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America

Michael C. Runge

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation U.S. Geological Survey, Laurel, Maryland, United States of America

Katriona Shea

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, United States of America

Shaun Truelove

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Cécile Viboud

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America

Justin Lessler

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

jlessler@unc.edu

Affiliations University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Competing Interests

JE is president of General Biodefense LLC, a private consulting group for public health informatics, and has interest in READE.ai, a medical artificial intelligence solutions company. MR reports stock ownership in Becton Dickinson & Co., which manufactures medical equipment used in COVID-19 testing, vaccination, and treatment. JL has served as an expert witness on cases where the likely length of the pandemic was of issue. The remaining authors declare no competing interests.