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Fig 1.

Workflow showing data pre-processing steps (A) and regression modeling (B).

PID: participant ID; AUC: area under the curve; LR: logistic regression; CB: candidate biomarkers; CV: cross validation; LRT: likelihood ratio test.

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Fig 2.

Candidate biomarkers of recent M.tb infection identified by the adaptive and innate EN models.

Boxplots comparing the raw values of recent (red) and persistent (blue) QFT+ individuals for the three candidate biomarkers with non-zero coefficients in the adaptive EN model (A) and the 10 biomarkers with non-zero coefficients in the innate EN model (B). Wilcoxon tests were used to compare the two groups and the resulting p-values are shown.

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Table 1.

Model estimates and the average performance metrics after internal validation of the final LR model (i) and the LR model built to E6C10-specific total Th 1 cells expressing HLA-DR only (ii).

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Fig 3.

Tree-based modeling results.

(A) Results from the simple classification tree built to the entire integrated dataset. Boxplots comparing vast scaled values of recent (red) and persistent (blue) QFT+ individuals were plotted for the two most stratifying features identified by the decision tree. The split values are superimposed onto the plots at (B) -0.098 for proportions of E6C10-specific Th1 cells expressing HLA-DR, and (C) -0.12 for frequencies of Esp-specific IL2+CD107-CD154-IFN-γ-TNF+ CD4+ T cells. (D) Variable importance plot of the final RF model showing the top 10 variables that resulted in the largest average decrease in the Gini Index.

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