Fig 1.
Infectivity Measure over the infectious period (blue line) and day of symptom onset (dashed orange line).
Table 1.
Model parameters—Baseline scenario.
Fig 2.
Control measure—Time to diagnosis.
(A) Average and 95% confidence intervals for the mean realized serial and generation intervals and (B) associated realized standard deviations (B) for diagnosis before the onset of symptom (Before Symptom), coincident with symptom onset (Upon Symptoms) and gamma-distributed delays to diagnosis (Gamma distr.—Baseline).
Fig 3.
Undiagnosed population—Prevalence.
(A) Average and 95% confidence intervals for the mean realized serial and generation intervals and (B) associated realized standard deviations when all the infectives are diagnosed (0%), 31% of infectives are not diagnosed (31%) and 86% of the infectives are not diagnosed.
Fig 4.
Difference between mean serial and generation intervals and realized incubation periods.
(A) Difference between mean serial and generation interval and (B) between the realized incubation period of infectors and infectee when the time to diagnosis varies among: 1 day before symptom onset (BeforeSymptom), at symptom onset (UponSymptom), after a gamma-delay from symptom onset (AfterSymptom). (C) Probability that infectious individuals make at least one effective contact during their infectious period, for a varying incubation period length.