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Figure 1.

Schema of the mathematical model and the simulated PRC to light.

Panel A. A schematic of the circadian and performance/alertness mathematical models [58],[59]. Both light intensity and endogenous period (“tau”) are inputs to the circadian model to make predictions of the phase and amplitude of the circadian pacemaker. The inputs to the neurobehavioral models are the sleep-wake times and the output of the circadian model. The outputs of the performance models include subjective alertness and objective performance measures. Panel B. Schematic of a phase response curve (PRC) to light stimuli. Circadian phase in hours (Φi) is displayed on the x-axis. Circadian Phase = 0 corresponds to the time of the minimum of the core body temperature, an accepted circadian phase marker. The y-axis displays the change in circadian phase (ΔΦ) ( = phase after stimulus minus phase before stimulus (Φi)) following a light countermeasure centered at Φi. The PRC consists of two regions: a phase delay (negative phase shift) and a phase advance (positive phase shift) region. If a light stimulus occurs in the delay region, the subsequent circadian phase will occur at a later clock time; the opposite is true for the advance region.

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Figure 2.

Examples of ‘Schedule Building Blocks’.

Note that the constraint in the “Constrained Countermeasure” is assumed to be a timing-related constraint and is therefore instantiated in the countermeasure start time and countermeasure length parameters.

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Figure 3.

Phase response contours from simulations of phase response protocols.

The horizontal axis represents the timing of the countermeasure center (in hours), relative to the time of the predicted core body temperature minimum (Circadian Phase = 0). The vertical axis represents the specific parameter being studied: duration (Panel A), intensity (Panel B), endogenous circadian period (Panel C). The magnitude of the phase shift (in hours) is color coded according to the legend. The maximum delay and advance regions are colored dark blue and dark red, respectively. Panel A. Duration (1 to 12 hr) response contours for light pulses with different intensities (1,000–10,000 lux). Simulations were run with an endogenous period of 24.2 hr. Panel B. Intensity (1000–10,000 lux) response contours for different light pulse durations (1–12 hr). Simulations were run with an endogenous period of 24.2 hr. Panel C. Endogenous period (23.8–24.6 hr) response contours for different intensities (1,000–10,000 lux). Simulations were run with 3-hr light pulse durations.

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Table 1.

Changes in objective function values following optimization procedures.

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Figure 4.

Schedule and simulation results of a jet-lag schedule.

The schedule includes two baseline days, a 12-hour shift in scheduled sleep episode, followed by 12 days at the new schedule. Panels A1 and B1 are the simulations without a countermeasure; Panels A2 and B2 are the simulations with a countermeasure. Panels A1 and A2. Raster plots of the schedule and simulation results: time (midnight to midnight) is represented horizontally, and each line is a separate day. Black boxes represent the timing of sleep episodes, white boxes represent the timing of wake episodes, yellow rectangles represent the timing of the bright light countermeasure, blue rectangles represent times of >85% performance, and red vertical lines represent time of predicted core body temperature minimum (the marker of circadian phase). The target phase used in the objective function is shown by the light blue vertical line in the shifted sleep. Panels B1 and B2. The performance within each wake episode across all days of the schedule is shown without (B1) and with (B2) countermeasures; each color represents a different day of the protocol. As circadian phase moves closer to the target phase, there is a higher level of performance for a longer duration each day. The countermeasure speeds this phase shift and results in faster improvement in performance, especially after ∼6 hours of wake.

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Figure 5.

Simulated changes in daily performance with and without countermeasure after a jet-lag schedule.

The schedule is the same as in Figure 4. Panels A1 and B1 are the simulations without a countermeasure; Panels A2 and B2 are the simulations with a countermeasure. Panels A1–A2: The predicted performance upper quartile (green), median (red), and lower (blue) quartile for each wake episode across all days of the schedule. Panels B1–B2: The scaled upper and lower quartiles across wake episodes of the schedules. For panels B1–B2, the combined upper (green) and lower (blue) quartile of simulated performance during baseline (wake day episode 1) is scaled to 1.

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Figure 6.

The empirical cumulative probability distribution of performance.

The distribution is shown for baseline (dot-dashed), and across the entire protocol with (dashed) and without (solid) a countermeasure.

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