Assessing the impact of climate and control interventions on spatio-temporal malaria dynamics using a stochastic metapopulation model
Fig 5
Malaria forecasts per cluster I-X.
Observed monthly malaria cases are shown in red. The median of 1000 simulations from the best-fitting model is shown in blue, with prediction uncertainty (10 - 90% quantiles) shaded blue. Forecasted incidence for 2020 - 2022 is shown in cyan, with forecast uncertainty (10 - 90% quantiles) shaded in cyan.