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Spatial close-kin mark-recapture methods to estimate dispersal parameters and barrier strength for mosquitoes

Fig 5

Influence of false negative and false positive kinship pairs on estimation of .

Violin plots depict estimates of mean daily dispersal distance, , obtained using the spatial CKMR approach for the optimal sampling scheme determined in Sect 3.1. Two scenarios are explored: (A) in which 0-20% of mother-offspring and full-sibling pairs were decoupled at random (i.e., introducing false negatives), and (B) in which 0-20% of individuals without sampled mothers or full-siblings were assigned them at random (i.e., introducing false positives). The simulated metapopulation consists of a 19-by-19 grid of households each inhabited by 25 adult Ae. aegypti at equilibrium with bionomic parameters listed in Table 1. Boxes depict median and interquartile ranges of 100 simulation-and-analysis replicates for each scenario, thin lines represent 5% and 95% quantiles, points represent outliers, and kernel density plots are superimposed. The true value of is depicted by a dotted line.

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013713.g005