Real-time forecasting of data revisions in epidemic surveillance streams
Fig 9
Comparison of count forecast evaluation results with NobBS and Epinowcast.
(A) Forecasts of finalized confirmed COVID-19 case counts in Massachusetts. (B) Forecasts of finalized COVID-19 insurance claim counts across all states based on CHNG outpatient data. (C) Forecasts of dengue fever case counts in Puerto Rico. (D) Forecasts of ILI case counts nationwide. Solid lines represent the mean WIS, which approximates absolute relative errors between the most recent report and the target, averaged over locations and reference dates for each lag. Shaded areas indicate the 10th to 90th percentile interval.