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Estimating Re and overdispersion in secondary cases from the size of identical sequence clusters of SARS-CoV-2
Fig 2
Validation of the Bayesian inference model to estimate 
, k and 
from the size distribution of identical sequence clusters.
(A) Estimate of the effective reproduction number 
. (B) Estimate of the dispersion parameter k. (C) Estimate of the testing probability 
. True values are shown as black lines. For each parameter combination, we ran the model 10 times on 3,000 simulated clusters each. The generated samples of the posterior distributions are summarized by mean and 95% credible interval.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012960.g002