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The NOSTRA model: Coherent estimation of infection sources in the case of possible nosocomial transmission

Fig 2

The impact of adding data sources on the assessed probability of each infection source.

Panel a. shows the posterior probabilities of each infection source when only symptom onsets and admission times are provided to NOSTRA. The other panels explore the impact on the posterior probabilities as different data is added. Panel b. shows the change in posterior probability from the estimates in panel a. when location information is added. Panel c. shows the change in posterior probability from the estimates in panel a. when genetic information about the pathogen is added. Panel d. shows the change in posterior probability from the model including onset times, admission times and patient locations, when genetic information about the pathogen is added. Panel e. shows the change in posterior probability from the model including onset times, admission times and genetic information about the pathogen, when patient locations are added.

Fig 2

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012949.g002