Challenging a paradigm: Staggered versus single-pulse mass dog vaccination strategy for rabies elimination
Fig 5
Transmission coefficient fitting.
The joint parameter space of the within-patch and between-patch transmission coefficient was limited so that rabies dynamics remained persistent but at a low prevalence (<0.15%, red line) with suboptimal (50% coverage) vaccination (A), yet is eliminated successfully at adequate (70%) vaccination (B). Within the range of possible transmission coefficients, the simulations with a sampled 10% detection rate (blue bars with 95% sampling interval) were selected as the best fit via least squares to reported aggregate monthly cases (pink bars) of all microreds (C).