EpiFusion: Joint inference of the effective reproduction number by integrating phylodynamic and epidemiological modelling with particle filtering
Fig 7
Rt trajectory RMSE, CRPS and Brier Score (y-axes) for case incidence only (orange), tree only (purple) and combined (green) EpiFusion approaches on scenarios with increasing noise (x-axes). For each of these metrics, a value closer to 0 reflects a better score. Noise is quantified as the standard deviation divided by the mean of the distribution from which the transmission or sampling rates were drawn. The general trend is shown by linear regression lines of the corresponding colour.