Managing spatio-temporal heterogeneity of susceptibles by embedding it into an homogeneous model: A mechanistic and deep learning study
Fig 6
Comparison of four epidemic indices predicted by models (4) and (1), with the basic reproduction number varied between 1.4 and 10.
The horizontal bars represent the reference values of the attack rate for the wild type with R0 ∈ (1.4, 3.9) [41], Delta variant with R0 ∈ (2.43, 5.11) [42], and Omicron variant strains with R0 ∈ (7.4, 9) [43], respectively. The reference value for Omicron is derived from survey data in [44]. The values for the wild type strain and the Delta variant were calculated by analyzing the rates of epidemics in Belarus under weak intervention measures. The data from 1 March to 1 October 2020, are used for the wild type strain, and data from 1 October 2020, to 20 December 2021, are used for the Delta variant.