Epidemiological modeling of SARS-CoV-2 in white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) reveals conditions for introduction and widespread transmission
Fig 5
The relationship between human-to-deer Force-Of-Infection and (A) average SARS-CoV-2 prevalence, (B) persistence of SARS-CoV-2, and (C) the incidence proportion during the fall, dependent on the degree of transmission from deer-to-deer (R0).
Points indicate metrics for each iteration simulated, with point color and shading indicating a particular scenario. Fitted lines indicate trends in the data, fitted with a log-normal or logistic-regression for prevalence and persistence, respectively. Transmission categories included unsustained transmission (R0 <1), low, sustained transmission (1< R0 ≤ 3), medium, sustained transmission (3< R0 ≤ 5), and high, sustained transmission (R0 > 5).