A simulation-based method to inform serosurvey design for estimating the force of infection using existing blood samples
Fig 3
Model fit for the three cities under the 5-year age categorization with model 1.
The first row represents the fit for scenario 0, where the median and 95% CrI of the estimated seroprevalence are reported in orange as a line and shaded area, respectively. The second row illustrates the model fit with the selected scenario in green. In both panels, the datasets used for model fitting are shown in black, with the error bars showing the exact binomial 95% Confidence Interval (CI). The third row shows a comparison of the estimated seroprevalence in scenario 0 (orange) and the optimal scenario (green).