Modelling African horse sickness emergence and transmission in the South African control area using a deterministic metapopulation approach
Fig 5
Overview of the outbreak dynamics in the AHS control zone from the model simulation.
(A) Spatiotemporal maps showing the number of affected (dead or recovered) horses in the outbreak with varying start months of the simulation from January to December (A-L). (B) Box plots displaying the number of days to the peak infection day depending on the start month of the simulation. (C) Similarly, box plots displaying the length of the outbreak in days depending on the start month of the simulation. The base layer of the map is publicly available to download from the Municipal Demarcation Board of South Africa (2018) [21].