Scoring epidemiological forecasts on transformed scales
Fig 7
Relationship between median forecasts and scores.
Black dots represent WIS values for two-week ahead predictions of the EuroCOVIDhub-ensemble. Drawn in red are the regression lines as discussed in the main text and shown in Table 1. A: WIS for two-week-ahead predictions of the EuroCOVIDhub-ensemble against median predicted values. B: Same as A, with scores obtained after applying a square-root-transformation to the data. C: Same as A, with scores obtained after applying a log-transformation to the data.