Development of Accurate Long-lead COVID-19 Forecast
Fig 2
Vertical dashed lines indicate the week of forecast. Dots show reported weekly cases per 1 million people; only those to the left of the vertical lines are used to calibrate the model and those to the right of the vertical lines are plotted for comparison. Blue lines and blue areas (line = median; darker blue = 50% CI; lighter blue = 80% CI) show model training estimates. Red lines and red areas (line = median; dark red = 50% CI; lighter red = 80% CI) show model forecasts using model settings as labeled in the subtitles.