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Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021

Fig 2

Percent of weeks with complete submissions for all sets of team forecasts, scaled, pairwise relative Weighted Interval Score (rWIS; see Methods for description), observed 95% prediction interval coverage, by geographical scale of submitted forecasts.

Teams are sorted by increasing state/territory/DC rWIS values.

Fig 2

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011200.g002