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Estimating fine age structure and time trends in human contact patterns from coarse contact data: The Bayesian rate consistency model

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Pre-COVID19 scenario simulation experiments.

(Top left) Simulated social contact intensities for Male-Male contacts. (Top right) Simulated social contact counts for Male-Male contacts with a COVIMOD-like age aggregation scheme. (Bottom left) Posterior median estimates of social contact intensities from the age-age parameterised HSGP model. (Bottom right) Posterior median estimates of social contact intensities from the difference-in-age parameterised HSGP model.

Fig 2

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011191.g002