Hindcasts and forecasts of suicide mortality in US: A modeling study
Fig 6
Quantile scores of forecasts from augmented models relative to baseline model (left) and relative to auto model (right), by state, during the test period (January 2020 – December 2020). Note that forecasts generated for the latter half of the year cannot be fully evaluated until mortality data for 2021 are available (for example, of forecasts generated at August 2020, 5-month ahead (Jan 2021) and 6-month ahead (Feb 2021) could not be evaluated).