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Learning from the past: A short term forecast method for the COVID-19 incidence curve

Fig 3

Illustration of the variability of closest curves.

For France, the USA, Germany and the United Kingdom: in black, the normalized curve of the last 28 values of the incidence trend curve up to May 5, 2022, in the normalized forecasting curve obtained by EpiLearn. Are also displayed in a scale the five curves i^k in the database with the lowest distance to the incidence trend curve . The lighter the blue, the larger the distance to the input curve.

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010790.g003