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Close-kin mark-recapture methods to estimate demographic parameters of mosquitoes

Fig 7

Sampling schemes to estimate μL and TL for Ae. aegypti.

Violin plots depict estimates of μL and TL for sampling scenarios described in §3.2. The simulated population consists of 3,000 adult Ae. aegypti with bionomic parameters listed in Table 1. Boxes depict median and interquartile ranges of 100 simulation-and-analysis replicates for each scenario, thin lines represent 5% and 95% quantiles, points represent outliers, and kernel density plots are superimposed. The default sampling scheme consists of 1,000 adult females and supplemental larvae sampled daily over a three month period. In panels (A-B), total larval sample sizes of 500, 1,000, 2,000 and 4,000 are explored. In panels (C-D), a larval sample size of 4,000 is adopted, and four sampling frequencies are considered—daily, biweekly, weekly and fortnightly. In panels (E-F), biweekly sampling is adopted, and sampling durations of 1–4 months are explored. The optimal sampling scheme consists of 4,000 larvae and 1,000 adult females collected biweekly over a three month period. In panels (G-H), the optimal sampling scheme is adopted and cases of biweekly sampling and sampling every two days are compared, both where the sampling day is known and where the sampling day is only known within the interval between samples.

Fig 7

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010755.g007