Feeling lucky? Prospective and retrospective cues for sensorimotor confidence
Fig 13
Capturing behavior with models.
We simulated a total of 9,600 data sets using each participants’ best fit parameters, target locations, and endpoints for a given model (200 per participant per model) and compared the model’s performance to different behavioral dynamics of the data collected from the participants. In all three plots above there are results from the three simulated models compared to the value measured from each participant, the Ideal Model (green), the Retrospective Model (blue) and the Prospective Model (red). The model that best fit the participant’s data in our analysis is denoted with a filled-in circle. (A) The percent of trials in which the confidence circle successfully intersected the true endpoint, thus earning points on that trial. Error bars reflect standard deviation across simulated data sets. (B) The total amount of points earned during the experiment. Higher points are earned for smaller confidence circles, but only if the true endpoint is intersected. Error bars: standard deviation across simulated data sets. (C) Mean confidence across all trials in the experiment. Error bars are +/- SEM across simulated data sets and individual trials.