Seasonal variation in SARS-CoV-2 transmission in temperate climates: A Bayesian modelling study in 143 European regions
Fig 4
Comparison of the inferred peak-to-trough R reduction effect of seasonality (combined from both models) to the NPI reductions inferred by Brauner et al. [23], with 50% and 95% CIs.
The seasonal effect is lower than the combined NPI effect but higher than or comparable to the individual NPI effects.