Adaptive search space pruning in complex strategic problems
Fig 3
Participants’ moves indicate the use of scoring strategies.
A) The distributions of first moves predicted by the “Interaction” scoring strategy and the distributions of participants’ actual first moves on this board. B) Log-likelihoods of scoring strategies’ predictions of participants’ moves. C) Percent of participants fitted to each scoring strategy. D) Log-likelihoods of scoring strategies’ predictions of participants’ moves. There are two configurations for each scoring strategy: using the scoring strategy as is (“base”) and adding the best fitted shutter value per each participant (see Methods). For all scoring strategies, adding the shutter significantly improved the log-likelihood and AIC scores (in all cases p < 10−5 using a likelihood ratio test). All error bars are 95% confidence intervals.