Inferring the effective reproductive number from deterministic and semi-deterministic compartmental models using incidence and mobility data
Fig 2
(A) Daily number (rhombus-shaped points) of COVID-19 cases detected during Ireland’s first wave, from the 29th of February 2020 to the 17th of May 2020. The x-axis indicates the date in which the infected individuals were swabbed. The line represents the smoothed trend (via LOESS method) from the data (B) Weekly number of COVID-19 cases detected in during Ireland’s first wave. The x-axis indicates the number of weeks since the first case was detected. (C) Apple data for Ireland from the 29th of February 2020 to the 17th of May 2020. Points represent the normalised amount of daily requests for driving directions. These indexes are normalised to the value on the 28th of February 2020. We highlight points every 7 days. These highlighted points are used to calibrate DGP1 and DGP2. The line represents the smoothed trend (via LOESS method) from the data. (D) Normalised amount of daily requests for driving directions at the end of each week starting from the 29th of February 2020. These bars correspond to the highlighted points in C.