Biased belief priors versus biased belief updating: Differential correlates of depression and anxiety
Fig 3
Evidence for a confirmation bias for self-referential beliefs.
Parameter estimates for the prior mean (μ0; y-axis) and bias in belief updating (b; x-axis), obtained using the winning model (Model 3: the “biased RW” model), are significantly correlated across participants (r = 0.5, p<0.001). This can be thought of as a form of confirmation bias, with new information (positive versus negative feedback) being incorporated more strongly into participants’ beliefs when it aligns with prior beliefs.