Modelling the spread and mitigation of an emerging vector-borne pathogen: Citrus greening in the U.S.
Fig 7
Spatiotemporal prediction of further HLB spread in southern California.
We used California HLB survey data up to June 2017 to infer the locations of the hidden infectious cells and used the estimations to seed forward simulations. We calculated infection probabilities by averaging outputs from 1000 simulation runs for the prospective spread between June 2017 and December 2021. Basemap shapefile for cartographic boundaries reproduced from U.S. Census Bureau under open data use.