A computationally tractable birth-death model that combines phylogenetic and epidemiological data

doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009805

A computationally tractable birth-death model that combines phylogenetic and epidemiological data

Fig 6

Simulation study results.

The bias in the estimators of the basic reproduction number, , and the prevalence is small and decreases with outbreak size. (A) The prevalence at the end of each of the simulations sorted into increasing order. (B) The proportional error in the prevalence estimate (ie a value of zero indicated by the dashed line corresponds to the true prevalence in that replicate). The solid green line is the mean of the point estimates. (C) The point estimates and 95% CI for each replicate. The solid green line is the mean of the point estimates. The corresponding intervals for other parameters using the aggregated data are shown in Figs F–I in S1 Appendix.

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009805.g006