Decision prioritization and causal reasoning in decision hierarchies
Fig 8
Participants and heuristic model made similar transitions between levels.
Transition frequencies between levels of the decision tree, obtained by grouping all nodes from the same level. The top row shows the transitions before making an error at a leaf node. The bottom row shows the transition after at least one error at a leaf node. The width of the red lines is proportional to the transition frequency. The dashed lines are placeholders for infrequent transitions. The last column corresponds to a Bayesian model in which the cost of querying internal nodes was reduced to 30% of its true value. In each of the 8 panels, transitions to a lower level are shown on the right, and transitions to a higher level are shown on the left. The ribbon identifies transitions between nodes at the same level of the decision tree (including re-queries). Transition probabilities were first calculated per participant, and then averaged across participant (see Methods).