Paranoia, self-deception and overconfidence
Fig 4
Estimated parameters show differences based on paranoia group and experimental group.
A, the cooperation group has an elevated prior for the social information (μ02,s) compared to the competition group. B, the variance of the perceived tendency of image categorization (ωns) is increased in high paranoia group as well as C, the variance of the perceived tendency of bet accuracy (ωs). *P ≤ 0.05, **P ≤ 0.01, ***P ≤ 0.001. D, ωns (variance of xs,ns) is correlated with confidence weighted self-deception. The correlation is statistically stronger in the high paranoia group. *P ≤ 0.05, **P ≤ 0.01, ***P ≤ 0.001.