An integrated framework for building trustworthy data-driven epidemiological models: Application to the COVID-19 outbreak in New York City
Table 6
Percentage changes of parameters and control reproduction number between contiguous stages.
The stay-at-home order in Stage 2, mask mandate in Stage 3, closing of indoor dining and starting of vaccination in Stage 6, and end of the holidays in Stage 7 lead to decreases in the transmission rate β and the reproduction number . The four-phase reopening in Stage 4 and reopening of indoor dining in Stage 5 lead to increases in β and
.