An integrated framework for building trustworthy data-driven epidemiological models: Application to the COVID-19 outbreak in New York City
Fig 10
Projection of daily cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in New York City with uncertainties and scenarios.
Reopening scenarios on February 14 and March 14 are considered. An increase in infectious, hospitalized, and deceased population is expected if the restaurants are reopened in the same way as Stage 5 (September 30, 2020 to December 14, 2020). Postponing the reopening of restaurants from February 14 to March 14 may reduce the number of infectious, hospitalized, and deceased individuals. The actual situation might vary depending on the details and implementations of the actual indoor dining policies that take place in 2021. Remarks: The projections were made and the paper was submitted in February. When updating the paper in June, we overlaid the new data of daily cases, hospitalizations, and deaths from February to June as the testing data. Indoor dining was actually reopened on February 14.