An integrated framework for building trustworthy data-driven epidemiological models: Application to the COVID-19 outbreak in New York City
Fig 8
Estimation of parameters and reproduction numbers.
(a) Estimated time-dependent transmission rate β(t). (b) Estimated time-dependent hospitalization ratio p(t), compared with daily hospitalizations over daily cases calculated from the raw data. (c) Estimated time-dependent death from hospital ratio q(t), compared with daily deaths over daily hospitalizations calculated from the raw data. (d) Estimated control reproduction number and effective reproduction number
calculated by the estimated parameters, compared with 1/2 of the logarithm of daily cases.