An integrated framework for building trustworthy data-driven epidemiological models: Application to the COVID-19 outbreak in New York City
Fig 3
Transition diagram between epidemiological classes.
We modify the classic SEIR model to include presymptomatic (P), asymptomatic (A), hospitalized (H), isolated (Q), and deceased (D) individuals. The given data are the inflows of symptomatic (I), hospitalized (H), and deceased (D) individuals. The parameters to estimate are (β, p, q). See Table 1 for the notations and the initial values. See Table 2 for the parameters. See Eq (1) for the corresponding ODE system.