Empirical model for short-time prediction of COVID-19 spreading
Fig 6
Error of the predictions done by the dynamical fitting of Gompertz function.
(A) Relative error between the predictions of the confirmed case for the next five days, in comparison with the actual confirmed cases in several countries. (B) Probability of obtaining the actual real value within the interval of confidance inside the error bars for the next five days. Errors computed with retrospective using all countries with over 1000 cases on April 9, 2020 using ECDC reported cases [28].