A theoretical single-parameter model for urbanisation to study infectious disease spread and interventions
Fig 9
Peak date, peak prevalence, area not infected and final size.
Peak dates for the global prevalence curve, peak prevalence, mean area not infected and mean final size as a function of clustering, with corresponding 95% confidence bands. The lines correspond to the baseline scenario, 90% travel restrictions, 99% travel restrictions and 100% travel restrictions. Top left: peak date. Top right: peak prevalence. Bottom left: area not infected. Bottom right: final size.