Epidemiological and economic impact of pandemic influenza in Chicago: Priorities for vaccine interventions
Fig 2
Influenza incidence (average number of new cases per day) during the pandemic for no vaccine intervention and vaccine intervention scenarios.
The epidemic curves illustrate influenza incidence without and with vaccination intervention for the catastrophic, strong and moderate influenza pandemic scenarios. The number of cases is the average of new cases over 25 simulations. Higher attack rates cause the earlier, more severe, and shorter pandemic duration, compared to the less severe but longer pandemics. The vaccination intervention is applied 15 days after the start of pandemic and implemented for 60 days. The vaccine intervention scenarios are simulated at 40% efficacy and 40% compliance for all age and risk groups in the dynamic agent-based model.