Spatiotemporal Analysis of the 2014 Ebola Epidemic in West Africa
Fig 4
Number of introduced cases per district distributed over possible origin districts, based on median posterior values averaged over ten augmented data sets.
Districts are ordered per country by time of first observed case. District columns add up to the total number of observed introduced cases in that district, which can be higher than 1 due to multiple introductions and due to multiple cases per introduction. Colours indicate distinct categories: 1 or more introduced cases (red), between 0.1 and 1 (dark orange), between 0.01 and 0.1 (orange), between 0.001 and 0.01 (yellow), between 0 and 0.001 (light yellow), and 0 (white). The latter category means that this introduction is impossible, because the destination was never infected or the source was not infected at the time of introduction in the destination.