Inference of Epidemiological Dynamics Based on Simulated Phylogenies Using Birth-Death and Coalescent Models

doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003913

Inference of Epidemiological Dynamics Based on Simulated Phylogenies Using Birth-Death and Coalescent Models

Figure 7

Comparison of growth rate point estimates of the birth-death model and the coalescent model.

For setting and (), we display the ML and MAP estimates for the birth-death trees (A) and the coalescent trees (B). As a comparison, the median values of the start and the end of the 95% HPD intervals, and the median of the medians of the posterior estimates for all 100 trees per setting are also displayed. The true value of the growth rate parameter, i.e. the value under which the trees were simulated, is displayed as a black horizontal bar. See Figures S17 and S18 for the plots of other parameter settings.

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003913.g007