Evaluating the Adequacy of Gravity Models as a Description of Human Mobility for Epidemic Modelling
Figure 5
A) Mean times to infection on the data network for counties against log population. Mean times to infection on the MK model network vs. those on the data network for epidemics initialised in B) Los Angeles County and C) Clinton County, Iowa (small dots give 95% confidence intervals on the times to infection for the data network). D) RMS difference in time to infection between data and synthetic networks (see Results section) against mean deviance for the best fit MK model on different data sets and at various aggregation levels.