Optimal Drug Synergy in Antimicrobial Treatments
Figure 3
The synergy ceiling is determined by clearance of the wild-type population before the single-mutant subpopulation.
(A) Population sizes of the wild-type (, black) and single-drug resistant mutants (
, blue) over treatment courses with levels of interaction below, at or above the critical value
(
). Populations start with sizes
and are killed by antibiotics until they are cleared at times
and
respectively; the overall time of clearance of the infection is simply
(orange markers). The interaction level
affects the order in which the wild-type and the single-drug resistant subpopulations are eliminated: below the synergy ceiling (
, top), the wild-type is eliminated after the single-drug resistant mutant and
; at the synergy ceiling (
, middle), the two populations die simultaneously and
; above the synergy ceiling (
, bottom), the single-drug resistant mutant outlives the wild-type, such that
. Because increasing
increases the wild-type killing rate but has no effect on the single-mutant killing rate, efficacy increases with
below the synergy ceiling (
), but plateaus at and above it (
; vertical dashed line: notice that
is the same both at and above the synergy ceiling). (B) Increased mutation rates,
, give rise to lower
. Inset: treatment efficacy,
, plateaus at lower levels of drug interaction
for higher mutation rates (
, blue;
, orange;
, green; blue and green lines are shifted slightly along y-axis for clarity);
values for each line are indicated by vertical dashed lines, and by circles in the main panel. Orange markers indicate the treatment efficacy achieved for different values of
when
, corresponding to the
values in panel A.