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Open Access
Peer-reviewed
Research Article
Disentangling the drivers of heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 transmission from data on viral load and daily contact rates
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Billy J. Quilty ,
Contributed equally to this work with: Billy J. Quilty, Lloyd A. C. Chapman
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing
Affiliations Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom, Center for Global Health, Charité Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Lloyd A. C. Chapman ,
Contributed equally to this work with: Billy J. Quilty, Lloyd A. C. Chapman
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing
* E-mail: l.chapman4@lancaster.ac.uk
Affiliations Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom, School of Mathematical Sciences, Lancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom
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James D. Munday,
Roles Data curation, Visualization, Writing – review & editing
Affiliations Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom, Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zurich, Basel, Switzerland
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Kerry L. M. Wong,
Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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Amy Gimma,
Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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Suzanne Pickering,
Roles Resources, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology and Microbial Sciences, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
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Stuart Neil,
Roles Resources, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology and Microbial Sciences, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
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Rui Pedro Galao,
Roles Resources, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology and Microbial Sciences, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
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W. John Edmunds,
Roles Funding acquisition, Project administration, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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Christopher I. Jarvis,
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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Adam J. Kucharski
Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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Disentangling the drivers of heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 transmission from data on viral load and daily contact rates
- Billy J. Quilty,
- Lloyd A. C. Chapman,
- James D. Munday,
- Kerry L. M. Wong,
- Amy Gimma,
- Suzanne Pickering,
- Stuart Neil,
- Rui Pedro Galao,
- W. John Edmunds,
- Christopher I. Jarvis
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- Published: August 28, 2026
- https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014715