Non-Markovian dynamics and effective reproduction number in COVID-19: Evidence from Cyprus contact tracing data

Pavlos Alexandros Dimitriou; Matteo D’Alessandro; Brian L. Chang; Valentinos Silvestros; Elisavet Constantinou; Costas Pitris; Panayiotis Kolios; Piet Van Mieghem

doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014578

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Open Access

Peer-reviewed

Research Article

Non-Markovian dynamics and effective reproduction number in COVID-19: Evidence from Cyprus contact tracing data

Pavlos Alexandros Dimitriou,

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations University of Cyprus, Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Nicosia, Cyprus, KIOS Research and Innovation Center of Excellence, Nicosia, Cyprus
⨯
Matteo D’Alessandro ,

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

* E-mail: m.d.dalessandro@tudelft.nl

Affiliation Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science, Delft, The Netherlands

https://orcid.org/0009-0003-6442-6828

⨯
Brian L. Chang,

Roles Methodology, Software, Validation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science, Delft, The Netherlands
⨯
Valentinos Silvestros,

Roles Data curation

Affiliation Ministry of Health, Nicosia, Cyprus
⨯
Elisavet Constantinou,

Roles Data curation

Affiliation Ministry of Health, Nicosia, Cyprus
⨯
Costas Pitris,

Roles Data curation, Funding acquisition

Affiliations University of Cyprus, Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Nicosia, Cyprus, KIOS Research and Innovation Center of Excellence, Nicosia, Cyprus
⨯
Panayiotis Kolios,

Roles Data curation, Funding acquisition

Affiliations University of Cyprus, Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Nicosia, Cyprus, University of Cyprus, Department of Computer Science, Nicosia, Cyprus
⨯
Piet Van Mieghem

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science, Delft, The Netherlands
⨯

Non-Markovian dynamics and effective reproduction number in COVID-19: Evidence from Cyprus contact tracing data

Pavlos Alexandros Dimitriou,
Matteo D’Alessandro,
Brian L. Chang,
Valentinos Silvestros,
Elisavet Constantinou,
Costas Pitris,
Panayiotis Kolios,
Piet Van Mieghem

Published: August 21, 2026
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014578

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