On real-time calibrated prediction for complex model-based decision support in pandemics: Part 2

Trevelyan J. McKinley; Daniel B. Williamson; Xiaoyu Xiong; James M. Salter; Robert Challen; Leon Danon; Ben Youngman; Doug McNeall

doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014299

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Open Access

Peer-reviewed

Research Article

On real-time calibrated prediction for complex model-based decision support in pandemics: Part 2

Trevelyan J. McKinley ,

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

* E-mail: t.mckinley@exeter.ac.uk

Affiliation University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9485-3236

⨯
Daniel B. Williamson,

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
⨯
Xiaoyu Xiong,

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
⨯
James M. Salter,

Roles Formal analysis, Investigation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
⨯
Robert Challen,

Roles Data curation, Resources, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation School of Engineering Mathematics and Technology, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
⨯
Leon Danon,

Roles Data curation, Funding acquisition, Resources, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations School of Engineering Mathematics and Technology, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom, Jean Golding Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
⨯
Ben Youngman,

Roles Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
⨯
Doug McNeall

Roles Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Hadley Centre for Climate Science and Services, UK Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
⨯

On real-time calibrated prediction for complex model-based decision support in pandemics: Part 2

Trevelyan J. McKinley,
Daniel B. Williamson,
Xiaoyu Xiong,
James M. Salter,
Robert Challen,
Leon Danon,
Ben Youngman,
Doug McNeall

Published: June 1, 2026
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014299

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