Real-time forecasting of COVID-19-related hospital strain in France using a non-Markovian mechanistic model

• Alexander Massey ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Alexander Massey, Corentin Boennec

  Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: stats.massey@gmail.com

  Affiliation Infectious Diseases and Vectors: Ecology, Genetics, Evolution and Control (MIVEGEC), Université de Montpellier, National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development (IRD), Montpellier, France

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8356-188X

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• Corentin Boennec ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Alexander Massey, Corentin Boennec

  Roles Data curation, Software, Visualization, Writing – original draft

  Affiliation Laboratoire Plasma et Conversion d’Energie (LAPLACE), National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), Institut National Polytechnique de Toulouse (Toulouse INP), Université Toulouse 3-Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France

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• Claudia Ximena Restrepo-Ortiz,

  Roles Software

  Affiliation MARine Biodiversity, Exploitation & Conservation (MARBEC), Université de Montpellier, National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), French National Institute for Ocean Science and Technology (Ifremer), French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development (IRD), Montpellier, France

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• Christophe Blanchet,

  Roles Project administration, Software

  Affiliation Institut Français de Bioinformatique, IFB-core UAR 3601, National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), Évry, France

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• Samuel Alizon ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Project administration, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  ¶‡ These senior authors also contributed equally to this work.

  Affiliations Infectious Diseases and Vectors: Ecology, Genetics, Evolution and Control (MIVEGEC), Université de Montpellier, National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development (IRD), Montpellier, France, Center for Interdisciplinary Research in Biology (CIRB), Collège de France, National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), National Institute of Health and Medical Research (Inserm), Université Paris Sciences et Lettres, Paris, France

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• Mircea T. Sofonea

  Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Software, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  ¶‡ These senior authors also contributed equally to this work.

  Affiliations Infectious Diseases and Vectors: Ecology, Genetics, Evolution and Control (MIVEGEC), Université de Montpellier, National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development (IRD), Montpellier, France, Pathogenesis and Control of Chronic and Emerging Infections (PCCEI), Université de Montpellier, National Institute of Health and Medical Research (Inserm), Établissement Français du Sang (EFS), Université des Antilles, Montpellier, France, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Nîmes (CHU de Nîmes), Nîmes, France

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4499-0435

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