OutbreakFlow: Model-based Bayesian inference of disease outbreak dynamics with invertible neural networks and its application to the COVID-19 pandemics in Germany

• Stefan T. Radev ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Resources, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: stefan.radev93@gmail.com

  Affiliation Institute of Psychology, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6702-9559

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• Frederik Graw,

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation BioQuant - Center for Quantitative Biology, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1198-6632

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• Simiao Chen,

  Roles Data curation, Investigation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg, Germany, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China

  https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0555-2157

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• Nico T. Mutters,

  Roles Data curation, Resources, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Institute for Hygiene and Public Health, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0156-9595

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• Vanessa M. Eichel,

  Roles Data curation, Resources, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Center of Infectious Diseases, University Hospital Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany

  https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3259-2920

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• Till Bärnighausen,

  Roles Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg, Germany, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America, Africa Health Research Institute, Durban, South Africa

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4182-4212

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• Ullrich Köthe

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Computer Vision and Learning Lab, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6036-1287

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