Pandemic velocity: Forecasting COVID-19 in the US with a machine learning & Bayesian time series compartmental model

• Gregory L. Watson ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft

  * E-mail: gwatson@ucla.edu

  Affiliation Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7597-7359

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• Di Xiong,

  Roles Data curation, Investigation, Software

  Affiliation Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5502-1464

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• Lu Zhang,

  Roles Data curation, Investigation, Software

  Affiliation Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6829-703X

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• Joseph A. Zoller,

  Roles Software

  Affiliation Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6309-0291

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• John Shamshoian,

  Roles Data curation, Investigation, Software

  Affiliation Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7115-7174

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• Phillip Sundin,

  Roles Data curation, Investigation, Software

  Affiliation Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2610-4644

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• Teresa Bufford,

  Roles Data curation, Investigation, Software

  Affiliation Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3915-9065

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• Anne W. Rimoin,

  Roles Conceptualization

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0662-9067

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• Marc A. Suchard,

  Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America, Departments of Computational Medicine and Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9818-479X

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• Christina M. Ramirez

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8435-0416

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