Bayesian History Matching of Complex Infectious Disease Models Using Emulation: A Tutorial and a Case Study on HIV in Uganda

• Ioannis Andrianakis ,

  * E-mail: ioannis.andrianakis@lshtm.ac.uk

  Affiliation Dept. of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom

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• Ian R. Vernon,

  Affiliation Dept. of Mathematical Sciences, Durham University, Durham, United Kingdom

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• Nicky McCreesh,

  Affiliation School of Medicine, Pharmacy and Health, Durham University, Durham, United Kingdom

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• Trevelyan J. McKinley,

  Affiliation Dept. of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

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• Jeremy E. Oakley,

  Affiliation School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom

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• Rebecca N. Nsubuga,

  Affiliation Medical Research Council/Uganda Virus Research Institute, Uganda Research Unit on AIDS, Entebbe, Uganda

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• Michael Goldstein,

  Affiliation Dept. of Mathematical Sciences, Durham University, Durham, United Kingdom

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• Richard G. White

  Affiliation Dept. of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom

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